Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.524904 6.949964e-01 0.889651 1.125595 1.400591 1.707908 2.074205
2025-02-16 0.240012 4.189340e-01 0.659224 0.989713 1.417245 1.937577 2.604511
2025-02-23 0.113433 2.766663e-01 0.537956 0.943531 1.517528 2.265039 3.276269
2025-03-02 0.046160 1.770590e-01 0.435315 0.889372 1.588200 2.553423 3.918561
2025-03-09 0.022153 1.366465e-01 0.409340 0.937977 1.802204 3.044577 4.853456
2025-03-16 0.007244 9.435378e-02 0.358594 0.930107 1.924877 3.412701 5.640156
2025-03-23 0.002828 7.866643e-02 0.356886 1.006149 2.183254 3.987942 6.736055
2025-03-30 0.000653 6.231415e-02 0.344205 1.056375 2.400718 4.511479 7.777569
2025-04-06 0.000025 4.618933e-02 0.321221 1.078796 2.569637 4.966889 8.735142
2025-04-13 NaN 2.914434e-02 0.279392 1.048670 2.639665 5.269403 9.477494
2025-04-20 NaN 2.005433e-02 0.258026 1.058960 2.780631 5.686030 10.396979
2025-04-27 NaN 1.361022e-02 0.240168 1.072542 2.926407 6.113573 11.341919
2025-05-04 NaN 6.524436e-03 0.202139 1.024225 2.951374 6.351990 12.020773
2025-05-11 NaN 2.579948e-03 0.169555 0.979325 2.976659 6.590414 12.706339
2025-05-18 NaN 1.096807e-03 0.153510 0.979274 3.093109 6.986138 13.644701
2025-05-25 NaN 2.255289e-04 0.130891 0.948480 3.139593 7.262005 14.401812
2025-06-01 NaN 1.252974e-04 0.134601 1.013486 3.400682 7.919624 15.774135
2025-06-08 NaN 8.347736e-06 0.122098 1.013028 3.514579 8.321295 16.748339
2025-06-15 NaN 4.456837e-06 0.130453 1.098074 3.828144 9.085275 18.313374
2025-06-22 NaN 9.774621e-08 0.131666 1.153913 4.077055 9.739497 19.712863
2025-06-29 NaN NaN 0.125986 1.179144 4.256007 10.272524 20.926332
2025-07-06 NaN NaN 0.108983 1.147915 4.298879 10.560265 21.748712
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.101826 1.159279 4.443707 11.036330 22.883066